Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs’ Playoff Picture Ahead of Week 14

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Fact Checked by Editorial Staff

All Missouri sportsbooks offer Kansas City Chiefs playoff odds and other NFL odds. Sports betting went live in Missouri on December 1, just in time for the second half of the NFL season.

Few teams have matched Kansas City’s success over the past decade, making their playoff chances nearly an annual expectation. However, with a 6–6 record, the Chiefs are on the brink of missing the playoffs. Kansas City plays the Texans at home for a Week 14 SNF showdown on December 7, and it’s a must-win game to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in Missouri. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $300 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Excludes customers who redeem prelaunch signup offer. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/4/26 at 11:59 PM CST. Sponsored by DK.

Latest Chiefs' Playoff Chances & More: December 2025

Here's a quick look at the Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs, along with additional betting-related markets. Note that these are the odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, but most Missouri mobile betting apps have similar odds. These numbers will shift throughout the rest of the season.

đŸ”„ Chiefs Playoff Chances45.6% (+120)
🏆 Chiefs Chances to Win Super Bowl LX5.3% (+1800)
👑 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC9.5% (+950)
đŸ„‡ Chiefs Chances to Win AFC West3.9% (+2500)
⭐ Chiefs Regular Season Win TotalO/U 9.5 (-175/+150)  
📆 Odds Last VerifiedDecember 8, 2025

What Are the Chiefs' Odds to Make the Playoffs?

The Chiefs are +120 to make the playoffs, a number that’s likely to shift throughout the rest of the season. Kansas City has made the postseason every year since 2015, but at +2500, they have the third-best odds to win the AFC West. Kansas City now relies on clinching a wild card to make the postseason this year.

Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Chiefs can make the NFL playoffs, but it's not going to be a walk in the park. With just six wins under their belt, Kansas City needs to finish the season strong against tough opponents such as the Texans, Broncos, and Chargers. That leads us to this question: can the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

Chiefs' Schedule: 2025-26 NFL Season

The Chiefs will log 21,695 travel miles this season, starting with their opener in Brazil. Kansas City takes on the Texans at home in Week 14 for SNF.

Chiefs ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at LA Chargers (Brazil)KC -3, ML -170L 27-21
Week 2 vs. Philadelphia EaglesKC +1.5, ML +105L 20-17
Week 3 at NY GiantsKC -6, ML -325W 22-9
Week 4 vs. Baltimore RavensKC +2.5, ML +124W 37-30
Week 5 at Jacksonville JaguarsKC -3.5, ML -175L 31-28
Week 6 vs. Detroit LionsKC -1.5, ML -120W 30-17
Week 7 vs. Las Vegas RaidersKC -11.5, ML -850W 31-0
Week 8 vs. Washington CommandersKC -12.5, ML -800W 28-7
Week 9 at Buffalo BillsKC -1.5, ML -120L 28-21
Week 10 BYE--
Week 11 at Denver BroncosKC -3.5, ML -205L 22-19
Week 12 vs. Indianapolis ColtsKC -3.5, ML -185W 23-20
Week 13 at Dallas CowboysKC -3.5, ML -185L 28-31
Week 14 vs. Houston TexansKC -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 15 vs. LA ChargersKC -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 16 at Tennessee TitansKC -7, ML -305TBD
Week 17 vs. Denver BroncosKC -4.5, ML -198TBD
Week 18 at Las Vegas RaidersKC -6, ML -238TBD

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Chiefs Celebrating a Touchdown

Key Contributors Toward the Chiefs' Playoff Chances

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense runs through superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. In fact, odds for Mahomes to win the MVP are a great bet every season. Mahomes recently carried the shortest odds to win MVP in 2025 at DraftKings, but has now slipped to the tenth-shortest.

Patrick Mahomes is in his eighth season as QB1 with a familiar core, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and JuJu Smith-Schuster. The Chiefs also re-signed RB Kareem Hunt and signed rookie Jalen Royals to give Mahomes even more options. WR Rashee Rice was suspended for the first six weeks after violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy, stemming from a 2024 multi-vehicle crash in Dallas and returned in Week 7 with two touchdowns. 

The Chiefs worked on their offensive line this offseason, placing their non-exclusive franchise tag on guard Trey Smith and trading guard Joe Thuney to Chicago for a 2026 fourth-round pick. Kansas City signed OT Jaylon Moore and re-signed Mike Caliendo as well. Defensively, Kansas City has a strong unit, led by Chris Jones, Trent McDuffie, and Nick Bolton. With the Chiefs re-signing Charles Omenihu and Nazeeh Johnson, along with adding CB Kristian Fulton, their defense is even stronger in 2025. So with all of the pieces together, their struggles this season come as a surprise.

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit http://RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. http://GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit http://www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ (18+ in D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Unique user identity verification required. First online real money wager only; $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at http://sportsbook.fanduel.com.

Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Odds?

You can now legally bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds while you're in Missouri, as sportsbooks went live in the Show-Me State on December 1. The following sports betting apps are available in Missouri:

  1. bet365 Missouri
  2. BetMGM Missouri
  3. Caesars Missouri
  4. DraftKings Missouri
  5. Fanatics Missouri
  6. FanDuel Missouri
  7. theScore Bet MO
  8. Circa Sports Missouri

When Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

As of December 1, you can bet on the Chiefs in Missouri, including their playoff chances. Sportsbooks are live, just in time for the final handful of regular season games prior to the playoffs.

Will There Be Promos for the Chiefs?

Yes, there will be Missouri sports betting promos you can use for betting on the Chiefs. Promos and offers will vary from sportsbooks.

You can claim the offers listed below, like the Fanatics Sportsbook Missouri promo to use on the Chiefs or any other NFL bet.

  • Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Minimum $10 deposit required. Bonus bets expire in 7 days. One new player offer. Add’l terms. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
  • Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+. Physically present in Missouri. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $300 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Excludes customers who redeem prelaunch signup offer. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/4/26 at 11:59 PM CST. Sponsored by DK.
  • GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IN, IL, KS, KY, LA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only.
  • Must be 21+ and physically present in MO. New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. Min. qualifying bet amount: $5. Min. Odds: -500. First wager after registration must qualify. Awarded as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire 30 days after receipt. Bonus Bet amount not returned for winning bets. See Caesars Sportsbook or the Promotions tab on the app for full terms. Void where prohibited. Know When To Stop Before You StartÂź. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
  • Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit http://RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. http://GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit http://www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ (18+ in D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Unique user identity verification required. First online real money wager only; $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at http://sportsbook.fanduel.com.
  • 21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MO, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY (excludes NY). New customers who wager $10+ cash on any market with odds of -500 or longer are eligible to receive $100 in FanCash (“Rewards”) each day for your first three (3) days. You must wager $10+ each day to be eligible for the Rewards each day. FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Promotion ends at 11:59pm ET on December 31, 2025. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
  • Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs Apply. Play Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, KY, LA, MD, MO, MS, NJ, OH, PA, VA, WV, WY), Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov. (NC), Call or Text 800-889-9789 (TN).

Chiefs' Playoffs Predictions and Outlook

The Chiefs are on a 2025 revenge tour after their Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, and with Patrick Mahomes leading the way, they’re coming back hungry. In Kansas City, playoff football isn’t a question, it’s the standard. After early losses to a division rival and the Eagles, the Chiefs looked to rebound, but with just six wins, their postseason hopes are now in jeopardy.

Andy Reid knows how to coach and win. The biggest factor in Kansas City’s 2025 playoff chances will be how they perform down the stretch against tough AFC opponents. After losing to the Cowboys, Kansas City’s hopes have dimmed. They now must navigate games against the Texans, Chargers, and the AFC-leading Denver Broncos in Week 17. For the first time in a decade, the Chiefs could miss the postseason.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Minimum $10 deposit required. Bonus bets expire in 7 days. One new player offer. Add’l terms. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Chiefs' Playoff Chances FAQ

Author

Blake Weishaar

Blake Weishaar an experienced writer and editor with nearly a decade of experience in the gambling industry, formerly covering the investing and consulting side. He serves as a content strategist and fact-checker for BetMissouri.com and is committed to ensuring readers have the most up-to-date and correct information about Missouri's sports betting market.Blake has been an avid follower of Missouri professional sports for years, particularly during the tenure of legendary Kansas City Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, a top fantasy choice on an annual basis. More recently, he's been rooting against the Royals, who defeated his beloved Orioles in the playoffs.Outside of providing his industry expertise for BetMissouri.com, Blake enjoys spending time with his wife and son, going for PRs on bench and hitting the links. Being a two-sport collegiate athlete, Blake continues to pursue an active lifestyle by playing golf, volleyball and soccer. Speaking of sports, he's a huge supporter of the Ravens, Orioles and Capitals!

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