Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs’ Playoff Picture

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Fact Checked by Editorial Staff

All Missouri sportsbooks offer Kansas City playoff odds, game odds, and other NFL odds. Sports betting went live in Missouri on December 1, just in time for the last stretch of the NFL season.

Few teams have matched Kansas City’s success over the past decade, making playoff appearances nearly an annual expectation. However, their Week 15 loss to the Chargers officially eliminated them from contention. To make matters worse, QB Patrick Mahomes suffered an ACL tear, sidelining him for the remainder of the season. 

Kansas City finished third in the AFC West with a 6-11 record. They enter the 2026 NFL Draft with the No. 9 overall pick and are looking to upgrade their defense, particularly the pass rush.

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Latest Chiefs' Playoff Chances & More: January 2026

Here's a quick look at the Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs, along with additional betting-related markets. Note that the Chiefs' odds are off the board at DraftKings Sportsbook and all Missouri mobile betting apps after Kansas City was eliminated from the postseason in Week 15. We will update this section when odds for next season are released.

🔥 Chiefs Playoff ChancesOTB
🏆 Chiefs Chances to Win Super Bowl LXOTB
👑 Chiefs Chances to Win AFCOTB
🥇 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC WestOTB
⭐️ Chiefs Regular Season Win TotalOTB
📆 Odds Last VerifiedJanuary 22, 2026

What Are the Chiefs' Odds to Make the Playoffs?

Expectations were high in Kansas City after three straight Super Bowl appearances, but a late-season collapse ended with a Week 15 loss that eliminated the Chiefs from playoff contention. The defeat was compounded by Patrick Mahomes’ season-ending ACL tear, ending Kansas City’s Super Bowl 60 hopes and snapping a decade-long postseason streak. It also marks the first time since Mahomes became the full-time starter in 2018 that the Chiefs will miss the playoffs.

Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

No, the Chiefs cannot make the NFL playoffs. Kansas City’s loss to the Los Angeles Chargers dropped the team to 6–8 and officially eliminated them from postseason contention. With a 6-11 record, the Chiefs hold the No. 9 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. Kansas City hasn’t had a top-10 draft selection in several years. Their most recent was in 2017, when they traded up to take quarterback Patrick Mahomes at No. 10 overall. Before that, the last time the Chiefs landed a top-10 pick was in 2013, when Eric Fisher went No. 1 overall.

That leads us to this question: in the 2026-27 season, can the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

Chiefs' Schedule: 2025-26 NFL Season

The Chiefs will log 21,695 travel miles this season, starting with their opener in Brazil. Kansas City closes out the season with a loss against the Raiders in Las Vegas.

Chiefs ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at LA Chargers (Brazil)KC -3, ML -170L 27-21
Week 2 vs. Philadelphia EaglesKC +1.5, ML +105L 20-17
Week 3 at NY GiantsKC -6, ML -325W 22-9
Week 4 vs. Baltimore RavensKC +2.5, ML +124W 37-30
Week 5 at Jacksonville JaguarsKC -3.5, ML -175L 31-28
Week 6 vs. Detroit LionsKC -1.5, ML -120W 30-17
Week 7 vs. Las Vegas RaidersKC -11.5, ML -850W 31-0
Week 8 vs. Washington CommandersKC -12.5, ML -800W 28-7
Week 9 at Buffalo BillsKC -1.5, ML -120L 28-21
Week 10 BYE--
Week 11 at Denver BroncosKC -3.5, ML -205L 22-19
Week 12 vs. Indianapolis ColtsKC -3.5, ML -185W 23-20
Week 13 at Dallas CowboysKC -3.5, ML -185L 28-31
Week 14 vs. Houston TexansKC -3.5, ML -175L 20-10
Week 15 vs. LA ChargersKC -6, ML -265L 16-13
Week 16 at Tennessee TitansKC -3, ML -180L 9-26
Week 17 vs. Denver BroncosKC +12.5, ML +600L 20-13
Week 18 at Las Vegas RaidersKC -5.5, ML -285L 14-12

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Chiefs Celebrating a Touchdown

Key Contributors Toward the Chiefs' Playoff Chances

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense runs through superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. In fact, odds for Mahomes to win the MVP are a great bet every season. Mahomes recently carried the shortest odds to win MVP in 2025, but those odds are now off the board after he suffered a season-ending injury on December 14. Fans will have to wait to see how Mahomes progresses through the offseason to get a better idea of when he will be ready to return to the field.

After Kansas City was eliminated from the playoffs for the first time in a decade, the team will have to make some tough decisions before next season. From the coaching staff to the players, changes need to be made in Kansas City if the Chiefs want to return to playoff contention in 2026.

As noted, the Chiefs haven’t had a top-10 overall draft pick since 2017, when they traded up to select quarterback Patrick Mahomes, a move that clearly paid off. Now, with Kansas City landing a top-10 pick this year, all eyes will be on which star they could add to the roster.

Pass rush is a top priority for the Chiefs, who managed just 12 takeaways this season as Steve Spagnuolo’s unit struggled to pressure quarterbacks. Adding a top-tier edge rusher alongside Chris Jones and George Karlaftis could boost the defense, generate more turnovers, and get Kansas City back into playoff contention. This offseason, the team will focus on roster upgrades and await news on Travis Kelce’s future, which could shape their plans.

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Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Odds?

You can now legally bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds (when available) while you're in Missouri, as sportsbooks went live in the Show-Me State on December 1. The following sports betting apps are available in Missouri:

  1. bet365 Missouri
  2. BetMGM Missouri
  3. Caesars Missouri
  4. DraftKings Missouri
  5. Fanatics Missouri
  6. FanDuel Missouri
  7. theScore Bet MO
  8. Circa Sports Missouri

When Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

As of December 1, you can bet on the Chiefs in Missouri, including their playoff chances along with other NFL futures. Sportsbooks are live, just in time for the final regular season games and the playoffs.

Will There Be Promos for the Chiefs?

Yes, there will be Missouri sports betting promos you can use for betting on the Chiefs. Promos and offers will vary from sportsbooks.

You can claim the offers listed below, like the Fanatics Sportsbook Missouri promo to use on the Chiefs or any other NFL bet.

  • Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only. Minimum $10 deposit required. Bonus bets expire in 7 days. One new player offer. Add’l terms. Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
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  • Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit http://RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. http://GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit http://www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ (18+ in D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Unique user identity verification required. First online real money wager only; $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at http://sportsbook.fanduel.com.
  • 21+ and present in MO. New customers who establish an account, opt in and make a deposit of at least $50 by 11:59 p.m. ET on Nov 30, 2025, are eligible for fifteen (15) No Sweat Bets (one per day for fifteen straight days). Place a cash wager of $1+ on any market with odds of -500 or longer, and if that wager settles as a loss, you are eligible to receive FanCash in the amount of the losing wager, up to $200 per day (“Rewards” or “No Sweat Bet”). Get one No Sweat Bet every day for fifteen (15) straight days starting Dec 1, 2025. Promo ends at 11:59pm ET on Dec 15, 2025. Terms, including FanCash terms apply - see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 888-BETS-OFF (888-238-7633)

Chiefs' Playoffs Predictions and Outlook

The Chiefs entered the 2025 season expecting a revenge tour after their Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, and with Patrick Mahomes at the helm, playoff football in Kansas City felt like the standard rather than a goal. Following another offseason of key additions, expectations were once again sky-high for a deep postseason run.

Instead, early losses within the AFC and a six-win campaign derailed those plans. Kansas City failed to defend its AFC West title after winning the division nine straight times and ultimately missed the playoffs altogether. The disappointing season raises major questions heading into the offseason, especially with Mahomes recovering from a torn ACL. How the roster is reshaped and how quickly Mahomes returns to form will play a defining role in the Chiefs’ outlook for the 2026–27 season.

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Chiefs' Playoff Chances FAQ

Author

Blake Weishaar

Blake Weishaar an experienced writer and editor with nearly a decade of experience in the gambling industry, formerly covering the investing and consulting side. He serves as a content strategist and fact-checker for BetMissouri.com and is committed to ensuring readers have the most up-to-date and correct information about Missouri's sports betting market.Blake has been an avid follower of Missouri professional sports for years, particularly during the tenure of legendary Kansas City Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, a top fantasy choice on an annual basis. More recently, he's been rooting against the Royals, who defeated his beloved Orioles in the playoffs.Outside of providing his industry expertise for BetMissouri.com, Blake enjoys spending time with his wife and son, going for PRs on bench and hitting the links. Being a two-sport collegiate athlete, Blake continues to pursue an active lifestyle by playing golf, volleyball and soccer. Speaking of sports, he's a huge supporter of the Ravens, Orioles and Capitals!

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