Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking Early Chiefs’ Playoff Odds

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Fact Checked by Editorial Staff

All Missouri sportsbooks offer Kansas City Chiefs playoff odds and NFL futures for the upcoming season. Few teams have matched Kansas City's sustained success, but last season marked their first playoff miss since 2014, made worse by Patrick Mahomes tearing his ACL and LCL in December. The good news: Mahomes is tracking toward a Week 1 return, when the Chiefs will host the Broncos on MNF.

We dive into the Chiefs' early playoff odds and what to expect heading into the 2026 season. 

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $100 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 5/31/26 at 11:59 PM ET.

Latest Chiefs' Playoff Chances & More: May 2026

Here's a quick look at the Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs, along with additional betting-related markets. Note that these are early odds at DraftKings Sportsbook and all Missouri mobile betting apps. These odds will shift throughout the offseason and into the season.

šŸ”„ Chiefs Playoff Chances67.2% (-205)
šŸ† Chiefs Chances to Win Super Bowl LXI6.3% (+1500)
šŸ‘‘ Chiefs Chances to Win AFC11.8% (+750)
šŸ„‡ Chiefs Chances to Win AFC West38.5% (+160)
ā­ļø Chiefs Regular Season Win TotalO/U 10.5 (+115/-140)
šŸ“† Odds Last VerifiedMay 13, 2026

What Are the Chiefs' Odds to Make the Playoffs?

Expectations have been high in Kansas City after three straight Super Bowl appearances, but a late-season collapse kept the Chiefs out of the playoffs last year. After offseason moves and the draft, Kansas City's playoff odds sit at -205, implying a 67.2% chance to return to the postseason.

Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Chiefs can absolutely make the playoffs, the season hasn't started yet. Kansas City missed the postseason for the first time in a decade last year, but with Patrick Mahomes leading an improved roster, the Chiefs currently carry a 67.2% implied probability to return to the playoffs based on -205 odds.

That leads us to this question: in the 2026-27 season, can the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

Chiefs' Schedule: 2026-27 NFL Season

The full 2026-27 schedule has yet to be released. We do know the Chiefs will host the Broncos on MNF in Week 1.

Chiefs ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 vs Denver BroncosKC -2.5, ML -155TBD
Week 2TBDTBD
Week 3TBDTBD
Week 4TBDTBD
Week 5TBDTBD
Week 6TBDTBD
Week 7TBDTBD
Week 8TBDTBD
Week 9TBDTBD
Week 10TBDTBD
Week 11TBDTBD
Week 12TBDTBD
Week 13TBDTBD
Week 14TBDTBD
Week 15TBDTBD
Week 16TBDTBD
Week 17TBDTBD
Week 18TBDTBD

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Chiefs Celebrating a Touchdown

Key Contributors Toward the Chiefs' Playoff Chances

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense runs through superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. In fact, odds for Mahomes to win the MVP are a great bet every season. Mahomes will have some new weapons this year after the Chiefs signed RB Kenneth Walker from Seattle and Emari Demercado from the Cardinals. Familiar faces return as well, including TE Travis Kelce and offensive linemen Mike Caliendo and Creed Humphrey.

The defense saw major changes this offseason. The Chiefs parted ways with Trent McDuffie, Michael Danna, Jaylen Watson, and Charles Omenihu, while adding CB Mansoor Delane and DT Peter Woods through the draft, along with CB Kaiir Elam in free agency. Preseason will be the first real look at how all the pieces come together.

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit http://RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. http://GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit http://www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ (18+ in D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Unique user identity verification required. First online real money wager only; $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at http://sportsbook.fanduel.com.

Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Odds?

You can now legally bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds (when available) while you're in Missouri, as sportsbooks went live in the Show-Me State on December 1. The following sports betting apps are available in Missouri:

  1. bet365 Missouri
  2. BetMGM Missouri
  3. Caesars Missouri
  4. DraftKings Missouri
  5. Fanatics Missouri
  6. FanDuel Missouri
  7. theScore Bet MO
  8. Circa Sports Missouri

Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

As of December 1, 2025, Missouri bettors can wager on the Chiefs, including playoff odds and NFL futures. Sportsbooks are live and ready for the upcoming season.

Are There Be Promos for the Chiefs?

Yes, there are Missouri sports betting promos you can use for betting on the Chiefs. Promos and offers will vary from sportsbooks and throughout the year.

You can claim the offers listed below, like the Fanatics Sportsbook Missouri promo to use on the Chiefs or any other NFL bet.

  • Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and Expire in 7 Days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
  • GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit http://gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $100 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: http://sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 5/31/26 at 11:59 PM ET.
  • Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit http://RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. http://GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit http://www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ (18+ in D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). Unique user identity verification required. First online real money wager only; $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at http://sportsbook.fanduel.com.
  • 21+. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY (excludes NY). Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER, 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
  • Must be 21+ and physically present in AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MO, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY or Washington, DC. New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. Min. qualifying bet amount: $1. Tokens max. bet amount: $25 per token. Tokens bet max. add'l winnings: $2,500 per token. Token(s) expire 14 days after receipt. Not reissued for voided/pushed bets. Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Know When To Stop Before You StartĀ®. Gambling Problem? CO, IL, KY, MD, MI, MO, NJ, TN, VA, WV, WY, KS (Affiliated with Kansas Crossing Casino), ME (Licensed through the Mi’kmaq Nation, Penobscot Nation, and Houlton Band of Maliseet Indians, federally recognized tribes located in the State of Maine), NC (Licensed through Tribal Casino Gaming Enterprise), PA (Affiliated with Harrah's Philadelphia): If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or MD: visit mdgamblinghelp.org or WV: visit 1800gambler.net; AZ: Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP; IN: Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT; IA: Call 1-800-BETSOFF; MA: Call 1-800-327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org, NY: Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369); LA (Licensed through Horseshoe Bossier City and Caesars New Orleans) Call 1-800-522-4700, Washington, DC (OLG Class A licensed Operator): Call 1-800-MY-RESET. Ā©2026, Caesars Entertainment
  • Must be 21+ to participate (18+ in KY). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, IA, KY, KS, LA, MD, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ). Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). CALL 1-800-MY-RESET (OH). CALL 1-877-770-STOP (LA). Must be present in LA (select parishes). Licensee partner Amelia Belle Casino. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.

Chiefs' Playoffs Predictions and Outlook

The Chiefs entered 2025 expecting a revenge tour after their Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, but fell short, missing the division title and the postseason entirely. Optimism is high again heading into 2026 after a busy offseason. 

Adding Kenneth Walker and Emari Demercado brings more depth to the run game, while defensive changes are expected to boost the pass rush. How the reshaped roster performs, and how quickly Mahomes returns to full form, will define Kansas City's outlook for the 2026–27 season.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See http://BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and Expire in 7 Days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Chiefs' Playoff Chances FAQ

Author

Blake Weishaar

Blake Weishaar an experienced writer and editor with nearly a decade of experience in the gambling industry, formerly covering the investing and consulting side. He serves as a content strategist and fact-checker for BetMissouri.com and is committed to ensuring readers have the most up-to-date and correct information about Missouri's sports betting market.Blake has been an avid follower of Missouri professional sports for years, particularly during the tenure of legendary Kansas City Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, a top fantasy choice on an annual basis. More recently, he's been rooting against the Royals, who defeated his beloved Orioles in the playoffs.Outside of providing his industry expertise for BetMissouri.com, Blake enjoys spending time with his wife and son, going for PRs on bench and hitting the links. Being a two-sport collegiate athlete, Blake continues to pursue an active lifestyle by playing golf, volleyball and soccer. Speaking of sports, he's a huge supporter of the Ravens, Orioles and Capitals!

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