Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs Playoff Odds

Latest Chiefs' Playoff Chances & More: August 2025

Here's a quick look at the Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs, along with additional betting-related markets. Note that these are the odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, but most Missouri mobile betting apps have similar odds. These numbers will shift once we get closer to the season and throughout 2025.

🔥 Chiefs Playoff Chances	79.2% (-380)
🏆 Chiefs Chances to Win Super Bowl LX	10.5% (+850)
👑 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC	19.1% (+425)
🥇 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC West	54.6% (-120)
⭐️ Chiefs Regular Season Win Total	O/U 11.5 (+100/-120)
📆 Odds Last Verified	August 10, 2025

What Are the Chiefs' Odds to Make the Playoffs?

The Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs are -380. These odds may change during preseason and will most definitely fluctuate throughout the 2025 regular season. Kansas City has reached the NFL playoffs every year since the 2015 season. At -120 odds, the Chiefs are the favorite to win the AFC West, which would guarantee them a playoff spot.

Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Chiefs can certainly make the NFL playoffs. Every team has a chance to make the playoffs as the season hasn't even started yet. However, it's a pretty strong bet that the Chiefs can advance to the playoffs. Given the Chiefs' recent success, it's more a question of "can the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?".

Chiefs' Playoff Chances: Key Updates

Here are key updates on what could impact the Chiefs' playoff chances. 

• 📅 August 9: Deon Bush tore his left Achilles tendon during the Chiefs’ preseason opener loss to the Cardinals.
• 📅 July 21: Kansas City renegotiates DE George Karlaftis contract.
• 📅 July 17: The Chiefs waive WR Justyn Ross.
• 📅 July 15: KC sign OL Trey Smith to a four-year contract.
• 📅 June 24: The Chiefs sign TE Geor'Quarius Spivey. 
• 📅 April 24: KC selects Ohio State offensive tackle Josh Simmons in the first round of the NFL draft.
• 📅 April 11: LB Jack Cochrane re-signs with Kansas City.
• 📅 April 4: The Chiefs sign DE Janarius Robinson.
• 📅 April 3: Safety Mike Edwards returns to the Chiefs, signing a one-year deal.
• 📅 March 27: Kansas City re-signs DE Charles Omenihu, and re-signs CB Nazeeh Johnson.
• 📅 March 24: The Chiefs re-sign defensive tackles Mike Pennel and Marlon Tuipulotu.
• 📅 March 21: Guard Mike Caliendo re-signs with Kansas City.
• 📅 March 19: The Chiefs sign DT Jerry Tillery.
• 📅 March 18: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster re-signs with the Chiefs.
• 📅 March 17: KC re-signs RB Kareem Hunt and signs QB Gardner Minshew.
• 📅 March 14: The Chiefs re-sign LB Nick Bolton to a three-year, $45 million contract and sign QB Bailey Zappe.
• 📅 March 13: The Chiefs trade guard Joe Thuney to the Bears for a 2026 fourth-round pick, sign RB Elijah Mitchell, and sign CB Kristian Fulton.
• 📅 March 13: Offensive tackle Jaylon Moore signs a two-year, $30 million deal with Kansas City.
• 📅 March 11: Kansas City signs TE Robert Tonyan.
• 📅 March 11: The Chiefs re-sign WR Hollywood Brown to a one-year contract.
• 📅 February 28: The Chiefs place franchise tag on guard Trey Smith. They are one of only two teams to use their franchise tag this offseason.
• 📅 February 25: GM Brett Veach and TE Travis Kelce shut down rumors that he is retiring.

Chiefs' Schedule: 2025-26 NFL Season

Kansas City will travel 21,695 miles next season, kicking off in Brazil for a Week 1 AFC West matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. After hosting the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2, the Chiefs will travel to New York to take on the Giants for SNF in Week 3.

Chiefs Schedule	Line	Result
Week 1 at LA Chargers (Brazil)	KC -3, ML -166	TBD
Week 2 vs. Philadelphia Eagles	KC -1.5, ML -125	TBD
Week 3 at NY Giants	KC -6.5, ML -290	TBD
Week 4 vs. Baltimore Ravens	KC -1.5, ML -125	TBD
Week 5 at Jacksonville Jaguars	KC -4.5, ML -218	TBD
Week 6 vs. Detroit Lions	KC -3, ML -155	TBD
Week 7 vs. Las Vegas Raiders	KC -9.5, ML -410	TBD
Week 8 vs. Washington Commanders	KC -3.5, ML -192	TBD
Week 9 at Buffalo Bills	KC +2.5, ML +114	TBD
Week 10 BYE	-	-
Week 11 at Denver Broncos	KC -1.5, ML -122	TBD
Week 12 vs. Indianapolis Colts	KC -9.5, ML -425	TBD
Week 13 at Dallas Cowboys	KC -6, ML -245	TBD
Week 14 vs. Houston Texans	KC -6.5, ML -270	TBD
Week 15 vs. LA Chargers	KC -4.5, ML -198	TBD
Week 16 at Tennessee Titans	KC -7, ML -305	TBD
Week 17 vs. Denver Broncos	KC -4.5, ML -198	TBD
Week 18 at Las Vegas Raiders	KC -6, ML -238	TBD

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Key Contributors Toward the Chiefs' Playoff Chances

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense runs through superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. In fact, odds for Mahomes to win the MVP are a great bet every season. Mahomes has the fourth-shortest odds to win MVP in 2025 at DraftKings.

Mahomes returns for his eighth season as QB1 with weapons like TE Travis Kelce and WRs Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and JuJu Smith-Schuster. In addition to bringing back Brown and Smith-Schuster, Kansas City re-signed RB Kareem Hunt. KC has also added more targets for Mahomes with the signings of tight ends Robert Tonyan and Geor'Quarius Spivey.

The Chiefs worked on their offensive line this offseason, placing their non-exclusive franchise tag on guard Trey Smith and trading guard Joe Thuney to Chicago for a 2026 fourth-round pick. Kansas City signed OT Jaylon Moore and re-signed Mike Caliendo as well. Defensively, Kansas City has a strong unit, led by Chris Jones, Trent McDuffie, and Nick Bolton. With the Chiefs re-signing Charles Omenihu and Nazeeh Johnson, along with adding CB Kristian Fulton and DE Janarius Robinson, their defense is expected to be even stronger in 2025.

Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Odds?

You currently can't legally bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds while you're in Missouri. However, that will soon change as sportsbooks will go live in the Show-Me State by December 1. We don't know which sportsbooks will be available just yet, but these are our best bets for betting on whether the Chiefs can make the playoffs.

• Bally Bet Missouri
• BetMGM Missouri
• Caesars Missouri
• DraftKings Missouri
• Fanatics Missouri
• FanDuel Missouri
• ESPN BET Missouri

When Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

Currently, you cannot bet on the Chiefs in any way if you're in Missouri, including their playoff chances. However, our best guess is that you'll be able to bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds by December 1, just in time to bet on the final stretch of the regular season and the playoffs.

Will There be Promos for the Chiefs?

Yes, there will be Missouri sports betting promos specifically for the Kansas City Chiefs, given they're the home team. Most sportsbooks offer bonuses for local professional sports teams, so the same should be expected in Missouri.

Chiefs' Playoffs Predictions and Outlook

The Chiefs are gearing up for a 2025 revenge tour after a tough Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, and with Mahomes leading the charge, they’re coming back hungry. Playoff football in Kansas City isn’t a question, it’s an expectation.

Andy Reid knows how to coach and knows how to win. The biggest catalyst for the Chiefs’ 2025 playoff chances will be how effectively their offseason moves come together. With new talent added and key veterans moving on, Kansas City’s Super Bowl window remains wide open.

New faces like RB Elijah Mitchell and OT Jaylon Moore add valuable depth to a refreshed offense, while veteran QB Gardner Minshew provides reliable insurance behind Mahomes. Despite Joe Thuney’s departure, the offensive line remains sturdy, and weapons like Kelce, Rice, Worthy, Brown, and Smith-Schuster keep the offense explosive and versatile.

Defensively, the core is intact and strong. Chris Jones anchors the line, George Karlaftis continues to develop into a key pass-rushing threat, and Nick Bolton leads a tough, disciplined linebacker group. The secondary will feel the loss of Justin Reid, but with Trent McDuffie and other young corners stepping up, this unit is poised to stay solid. The bottom line is, the Chiefs aren’t just playoff contenders, they’re serious championship contenders.