Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances: Tracking the Chiefs Playoff Odds

Latest Chiefs' Playoff Chances & More: September 2025

Here's a quick look at the Chiefs' odds to make the playoffs, along with additional betting-related markets. Note that these are the odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook, but most Missouri mobile betting apps have similar odds. These numbers will shift throughout the season.

🔥 Chiefs Playoff Chances	67.2% (-205)
🏆 Chiefs Chances to Win Super Bowl LX	7.7% (+1200)
👑 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC	13.3% (+650)
🥇 Chiefs Chances to Win AFC West	30.3% (+230)
⭐️ Chiefs Regular Season Win Total	O/U 9.5 (-110/-110)
📆 Odds Last Verified	September 16, 2025

What Are the Chiefs' Odds to Make the Playoffs?

The Chiefs are -205 to make the playoffs, a number that’s likely to shift throughout the season. Kansas City has made the postseason every year since 2015, and at +230, they have the second-best odds to win the AFC West, a path that would lock in another playoff berth.

Can the Chiefs Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Chiefs can certainly make the NFL playoffs. Every team has a chance to make the playoffs as the season is just starting. However, it's a pretty strong bet that the Chiefs can advance to the postseason. Given the Chiefs' recent success, it's more a question of "can the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?".

Chiefs' Playoff Chances: Key Updates

Between injuries, roster moves, and new signings, things can shift quickly during the season. Here are key updates on what could impact the Chiefs' playoff chances.

• 📅 August 28: TE Robert Tonyan signed to the active roster.
• 📅 August 22: Kansas City acquires DT Derrick Nnadi and a 2027 seventh-round pick from the Jets in exchange for a 2027 sixth-round pick.
• 📅 August 21: The Chiefs trade WR Skyy Moore to the San Francisco 49ers.
• 📅 August 18: DE Felix Anudike-Uzomah placed on injured reserve.
• 📅 August 11: The Chiefs place S Deon Bush and DE Janarius Robinson on injured reserve.
• 📅 July 15: Kansas City signs OL Trey Smith to a four-year contract.
• 📅 April 24: The Chiefs select Ohio State offensive tackle Josh Simmons in the first round of the NFL draft.
• 📅 April 4: DE Janarius Robinson signs with the Chiefs.
• 📅 March 27: Kansas City re-signs DE Charles Omenihu and with CB Nazeeh Johnson.
• 📅 March 21: The Chiefs re-sign Guard Mike Caliendo.
• 📅 March 18: WR JuJu Smith-Schuster re-signs with the Chiefs.
• 📅 March 17: Kansas City re-signs RB Kareem Hunt and signs QB Gardner Minshew.
• 📅 March 14: LB Nick Bolton signs a three-year contract.
• 📅 March 13: The Chiefs trade guard Joe Thuney to the Bears for a 2026 fourth-round pick, sign RB Elijah Mitchell, and sign CB Kristian Fulton.
• 📅 March 13: Offensive tackle Jaylon Moore signs a two-year, $30 million deal with Kansas City.
• 📅 March 11: The Chiefs re-sign WR Hollywood Brown to a one-year contract.

Chiefs' Schedule: 2025-26 NFL Season

The Chiefs will log 21,695 travel miles this season, starting with their opener in Brazil. After losing to the Eagles in Week 2, they’ll head to New York for Sunday Night Football against the Giants in Week 3.

Chiefs Schedule	Line	Result
Week 1 at LA Chargers (Brazil)	KC -3, ML -170	L 27-21
Week 2 vs. Philadelphia Eagles	KC +1.5, ML +105	L 20-17
Week 3 at NY Giants	KC -5.5, ML -260	TBD
Week 4 vs. Baltimore Ravens	KC -1.5, ML -125	TBD
Week 5 at Jacksonville Jaguars	KC -4.5, ML -218	TBD
Week 6 vs. Detroit Lions	KC -3, ML -155	TBD
Week 7 vs. Las Vegas Raiders	KC -9.5, ML -410	TBD
Week 8 vs. Washington Commanders	KC -3.5, ML -192	TBD
Week 9 at Buffalo Bills	KC +2.5, ML +114	TBD
Week 10 BYE	-	-
Week 11 at Denver Broncos	KC -1.5, ML -122	TBD
Week 12 vs. Indianapolis Colts	KC -9.5, ML -425	TBD
Week 13 at Dallas Cowboys	KC -6, ML -245	TBD
Week 14 vs. Houston Texans	KC -6.5, ML -270	TBD
Week 15 vs. LA Chargers	KC -4.5, ML -198	TBD
Week 16 at Tennessee Titans	KC -7, ML -305	TBD
Week 17 vs. Denver Broncos	KC -4.5, ML -198	TBD
Week 18 at Las Vegas Raiders	KC -6, ML -238	TBD

Odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook

Key Contributors Toward the Chiefs' Playoff Chances

The Kansas City Chiefs' offense runs through superstar QB Patrick Mahomes. In fact, odds for Mahomes to win the MVP are a great bet every season. Mahomes has the sixth-shortest odds to win MVP in 2025 at DraftKings.

Patrick Mahomes returns for his eighth season as QB1 with a familiar core, Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and JuJu Smith-Schuster. The Chiefs also re-signed RB Kareem Hunt and signed rookie Jalen Royals to give Mahomes even more options. WR Rashee Rice is suspended for the first six weeks after violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy, stemming from a 2024 multi-vehicle crash in Dallas.

The Chiefs worked on their offensive line this offseason, placing their non-exclusive franchise tag on guard Trey Smith and trading guard Joe Thuney to Chicago for a 2026 fourth-round pick. Kansas City signed OT Jaylon Moore and re-signed Mike Caliendo as well. Defensively, Kansas City has a strong unit, led by Chris Jones, Trent McDuffie, and Nick Bolton. With the Chiefs re-signing Charles Omenihu and Nazeeh Johnson, along with adding CB Kristian Fulton and rookie Omarr Norman-Lott, their defense is expected to be even stronger in 2025.

Where Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Odds?

You currently can't legally bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds while you're in Missouri. However, that will soon change as sportsbooks will go live in the Show-Me State by December 1. We don't know which sportsbooks will be available just yet, but these are our best bets for betting on whether the Chiefs can make the playoffs.

• Bally Bet Missouri
• BetMGM Missouri
• Caesars Missouri
• DraftKings Missouri
• Fanatics Missouri
• FanDuel Missouri
• ESPN BET Missouri

When Can I Bet on the Chiefs' Playoff Chances?

Currently, you cannot bet on the Chiefs in any way if you're in Missouri, including their playoff chances. However, our best guess is that you'll be able to bet on the Chiefs' playoff odds by December 1, just in time to bet on the final stretch of the regular season and the playoffs.

Will There be Promos for the Chiefs?

Yes, there will be Missouri sports betting promos specifically for the Kansas City Chiefs, given they're the home team. Most sportsbooks offer bonuses for local professional sports teams, so the same should be expected in Missouri.

Chiefs' Playoffs Predictions and Outlook

The Chiefs are eyeing a 2025 revenge tour after their Super Bowl LIX loss to the Eagles, and with Patrick Mahomes at the helm, they’re coming back hungry. Playoff football in Kansas City isn’t a question, it’s the standard. But after dropping a divisional matchup in Week 1 and losing to the Eagles at home in Week 2, the Chiefs will need a strong response in Week 3.

Andy Reid knows how to coach and knows how to win. The biggest catalyst for the Chiefs’ 2025 playoff chances will be how effectively their offseason moves come together. With new talent added and key veterans moving on, Kansas City’s Super Bowl window remains wide open.

New faces like OT Jaylon Moore and rookie Josh Simmons add valuable depth to a refreshed offense, while veteran QB Gardner Minshew offers reliable insurance behind Mahomes. Even with Joe Thuney’s departure, the offensive line remains solid, and weapons such as Kelce, Rice, Worthy and Smith-Schuster keep the Chiefs’ offense both explosive and versatile.

Defensively, the core is intact and strong. Chris Jones anchors the line, George Karlaftis continues to develop into a key pass-rushing threat, and Nick Bolton leads a tough, disciplined linebacker group. The secondary will feel the loss of Justin Reid, but with Trent McDuffie and other young corners stepping up, this unit is poised to stay solid. The bottom line is, the Chiefs aren’t just playoff contenders, they’re serious championship contenders.