Whoever said that true love is dead isn’t a pop music fan, clearly. Superstar singer Taylor Swift and future NFL Hall of Fame tight end Travis Kelce are still going strong as a couple nearly two years after the two supernovas started dating.
With the pop music icon taking the fall off of touring (as of now), it seems that the 14-time Grammy winner will have ample time to watch her boyfriend do his day job. Kelce and the Kansas City Chiefs look to get back on top after falling to the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX in February.
With Kelce and Swift still going strong and consistently grabbing the attention of Chiefs fans and Swifties, BetMissouri.com developed odds projecting which of the upcoming Chiefs’ games Swift is likely to attend this season. We did not include any of the team’s three preseason games.
Week 1: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-1150
92%
Not Attend
+1150
8%
The Chiefs open the regular season against the Los Angeles Chargers in an AFC West showdown thousands of miles from either city – at Corinthians Arena in Sao Paulo. The NFL looks to broaden its horizons in Brazil a few days after Labor Day. Given that Swift’s schedule is (currently) open, we’re guessing that she’ll be a surefire attendee to head south to explore the heart of Brazil come Sept. 5, which is why we’re giving her -1150 (or 92%) odds of attending Kansas City’s Week 1 showdown with Los Angeles. A reminder, these Taylor Swift odds are excusive to BetMissouri.com and not to be found at any Missouri sportsbooks operators when they launch later this year.
Week 2: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-900
90%
Not Attend
+900
10%
A week later, we get the Super Bowl rematch that the country has craved since Philly handed Kansas City a 40-22 smackdown inside the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans in February. The Eagles and Chiefs clash at 3:25 p.m. Central time on FOX. Chiefs vs. Eagles odds currently side with host Kansas City, listed as a 1.5-point favorite over Philly on BetMGM Sportsbook in neighboring Kansas for the Week 2 clash at Arrowhead. We also favor Swift (a Pennsylvania native who claimed Eagles fandom before she started dating Kelce) to appear here, with -900 odds that the musical mainstay will make it to the Super Bowl rematch on Sept. 14. Our Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl 60 odds will keep track of their bid to get to the big game again.
Week 3: Kansas City Chiefs @ New York Giants
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-200
66.7%
Attend
+200
33.3%
In Week 3, the Chiefs play their first true road game, heading to The Meadowlands to play the New York Giants at 7:20 on Sunday Night Football on NBC. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Chiefs as a 6.5-point road favorite (as of Aug. 1) for the SNF showdown, but we’re only giving Swift +200 (or 33.3%) odds of making it to the Sept. 21 clash.
Week 4: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-650
86.7%
Not Attend
+650
13.3%
The Chiefs’ final September contest brings them back to Arrowhead to square off against Lamar Jackson and the tough-as-nails Baltimore Ravens on Sept. 28 in a 3:25 matinee on CBS. K.C. looks to close out the first month of the NFL regular season on a high note. Despite Swift’s busy schedule, we’re not about to assume that she’ll miss a quality clash between two Super Bowl contenders. That’s why we’re giving her -650 odds of attending the Week 4 clash of the titans, compared with the home side’s current -1.5 moneyline status against Baltimore.
Week 5: Kansas City Chiefs @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-150
60%
Attend
+150
40%
Looking forward to the first weekend of October, we have the Chiefs’ first Monday Night Football appearance of the 2025 season, with Patrick Mahomes and company playing the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars Oct. 6 in Florida. K.C. is listed as a 5-point road favorite on Caesars Sportsbook in Week 5, but we’re going with the odds being against Swift making it to Duval County on Oct. 6, with +150 (or 40%) odds that she’ll attend the MNF contest on national television.
Week 6: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-250
71.4%
Not Attend
+250
28.6%
The Chiefs’ status as the AFC’s standard-bearer will be tested when the NFC’s Detroit Lions come to town Oct. 12 at Arrowhead. That primetime contest, NBC’s Sunday Night Football game in Week 6, kicks off at 7:20, with DraftKings listing K.C. as a 3-point home favorite over Detroit. Our odds board tilts back toward Swift attending this one, with -250 (or 71.4%) odds on Oct. 12.
Week 7: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-350
77.8%
Attend
+350
22.2%
Moving into Week 7, the Chiefs will be looking at their second of three straight home games when the Las Vegas Raiders come to town on Oct. 19 for a noon kick between the AFC West rivals on CBS. As for “T-Swift,” we’re giving the superstar +350 (or 22.2%) odds of attending Kansas City’s Week 7 clash with Las Vegas, which stands as some of our longest odds either way for Swift in 2025. The Raiders will be at least as much of an underdog – Caesars lists the hometown Chiefs as a 9-point home favorite over Las Vegas.
Week 8: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Commanders
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-750
88.2%
Not Attend
+750
11.8%
The nation will be treated to another MNF game involving Mahomes, Kelce and company here. K.C. hosts the Commanders, who last season made the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 1991. On Oct. 27, the Chiefs and Commanders will duke it out on the Arrowhead Stadium turf, while Swift is as close to a lock to be in attendance as possible, with -750 (or 88.2%) odds of attending the Week 8 showdown between Jayden Daniels and Mahomes on ESPN and ABC.
Week 9: Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-200
66.7%
Attend
+200
33.3%
Few teams have haunted the Buffalo Bills the way Kansas City has of late, at least in the playoffs. The Chiefs eliminated the AFC East stalwarts in the 2021 and 2025 AFC Championship games, plus in the Divisional Round in 2022 and 2024. The regular season has been a different story, as the Bills have won the past four meetings against coach Andy Reid’s squad. Come Week 9, the Chiefs and Bills meet again, this time in New York, as Kansas City seek to head into their bye week on a high note against Josh Allen and company. The Bills are playing their final year at Highmark Stadium before moving across the street to “New Highmark Stadium” in 2026. Caesars has Buffalo as a 2.5-point favorite and we’re also making Swift an underdog at +200 odds (or 33.3%) to attend the Nov. 2 clash between AFC powers.
Week 11: Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-300
75%
Attend
+300
25%
After a bye, the Chiefs face the Broncos in Denver at 3:35 on Nov. 16, with the longtime AFC West rivals meeting on CBS. We’re giving Swift long odds of attending the Week 11 clash, at +300 (or 25%) for her to be in Denver, compared with -300 odds that she takes Week 11 off to do something else with her sparse free time.
Week 12: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-750
88.2%
Not Attend
+750
11.8%
Come Nov. 23, the Chiefs will kick off the first of two games in a calendar week, when Kansas City hosts the Colts at noon on CBS, the final game before Thanksgiving. Caesars has installed the Chiefs as an 8.5-point favorite for this one and we project that Swift will be in the stands, with -750 (or 88.2%) odds that she attends this one at Arrowhead.
Week 13: Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-250
71.4%
Not Attend
+250
28.6%
This Thanksgiving, the Chiefs will be front and center by playing the Dallas Cowboys inside “Jerry World” at 3:30 p.m. on Nov. 27 for the traditional Turkey Day game at Dallas. Given the high profile of the NFL’s Thanksgiving contests, it’s likely of little surprise that we’re going with Swift to be in Arlington come holiday time, with -250 odds. In Kansas, ESPN Bet has the Chiefs as a 5.5-point road favorite.
Week 14: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-900
90%
Not Attend
+900
10%
Dec. 1 is the deadline for sports betting to launch in the Show Me State so by this time, Missouri sportsbook apps are slated to be up and running for wagering action on the Chiefs. The first game of December sees two of the NFL’s brightest quarterbacks duking it out on Sunday Night Football, with C.J. Stroud leading the Texans into Arrowhead in primetime on Dec. 7. We’re 90% confident that Swift will be there, thus our -900 line on it.
Week 15: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-450
81.8%
Not Attend
+450
18.2%
After their sojourn to Brazil in Week 1, this time these AFC West teams square off at Arrowhead in noon matinee on CBS. DraftKings has installed the Chiefs as a 4.5-point favorite and we favor Swift as well, at -450 odds (or an 81.8% chance) of her attending the Chiefs-Bolts clash on Dec. 14.
Week 16: Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-200
66.7%
Not Attend
+200
33.3%
As the NFL enters its stretch run, Mahomes and the Chiefs head to Music City to play the Titans in a Sunday matinee at noon on CBS inside Nissan Stadium. We give Swift -200 odds of making it to Nashville – where she moved as a teen and still owns a home – on Dec. 21 to watch Kelce and company take on the Titans in Kansas City’s second-to-last road game of the season.
Week 17: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Attend
-300
75%
Not Attend
+300
25%
The penultimate regular-season contest and Chiefs home finale pits them against the division rival Broncos on Christmas Day. Prime Video has the exclusive here with a 7:15 kickoff. Millions of Americans will have already unwrapped their Christmas Day presents by the time Reid’s team takes the field, but consider the nighttime contest a treat of its own, with two likely playoff contenders. We say Swift has a 75% chance (or -300 odds) to be in the crowd on Dec. 25.
Week 18: Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Outcome
Odds
Percent Chance
Not Attend
-150
60%
Attend
+150
40%
At long last, we’ve reached the end of the regular season, when the Chiefs head to Sin City to face their AFC West rivals. This contest, like all others in Week 18, is a “flex game” so the TV network and kickoff time are undetermined (they will be set the week of the game). With that uncertainty, we project Swift to miss this one, at +150 odds or a 40% chance of her presence at Allegiant Stadium for the finale.
Q&A: Will Taylor Swift Attend Kansas City Chiefs Games This Season?
According to BetMissouri.com’s odds, Taylor Swift is most likely to attend the Week 1 game against the Los Angeles Chargers, with a 92% chance (-1150 odds). It is very likely that Taylor Swift will attend the Week 1 game to kick off the season at the Kansas City Chiefs’ home stadium.
Yes, the odds suggest Taylor Swift is least likely to attend the Week 3 game against the New York Giants (33.3% chance, +200 odds) and the Week 18 game at the Las Vegas Raiders (40% chance, +150 odds). These lower probabilities are because of these game locations.
BetMissouri.com developed these odds by analyzing factors such as game location, schedule, and the ongoing public interest in Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s relationship. The methodology excludes preseason games, as Swift is unlikely to attend those – after all, the 12-year veteran Kelce is unlikely to play in them very much, if at all.
Christopher Boan is a lead writer for BetMissouri.com, specializing in covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.