How Patrick Mahomes Skid Stacks Up Versus Recent Super Bowl Champs

How Patrick Mahomes Skid Stacks Up Versus Recent Super Bowl Champs
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

The Kansas City Chiefs find themselves in unfamiliar territory, having lost four of the team’s last six games and entering the stretch run with a one-game divisional lead over the Denver Broncos with four games left. The 8-5 Chiefs have lost four of their last six contests, including Sunday’s 20-17 home defeat against the Buffalo Bills, while two-time MVP quarterback, Patrick Mahomes has been far from his normal self this season.  

While it’s hard to pin KC’s struggles solely on the herculean right arm of their future Hall of Fame QB, it’s worth taking note of how far from last year’s pace Mahomes is playing in 2023. Between a severe drop-off in touchdown production (from 2.4 TD per game in 2022-23 to 1.8 this year) and similar declines in passing yards per game (261.4 this year, vs. 308.8 in 2022-23) and QBR (66.9 this year, vs. 79.0 in 2022-23), there’s no denying that this year’s been a bit of a struggle for Mahomes.  

To stack up where the 28-year-old is through 13 games versus each of the five previous seasons where he played for Andy Reid and company, BetMissouri.com paused Missouri sports betting updates and broke down Mahomes’ stats and compared them to other recent Super Bowl-winning signal callers.  

Patrick Mahomes Stats By Year

Once Missouri betting apps are legal, any type of player stat would be useful before placing wagers. Here’s a breakdown of Patrick Mahomes's career stats. 

Year Games Started Stats
2023 13 games 3,398 yards (261.4 YPG), 23 TD, 11 INT, 66.8 QBR
2022 17 games 5,250 yards (308.8 YPG), 41 TD, 12 INT, 79.0 QBR
2021 17 games 4,839 yards (284.6 YPG), 37 TD, 13 INT, 67.7 QBR
2020 15 games 4,740 yards (316 YPG), 38 TD, 6 INT, 78.1 QBR
2019 14 games 4,031 yards (287.9 YPG), 26 TD, 5 INT, 77.7 QBR
2018 16 games 5,097 yards (318.6 YPG), 50 TD, 12 INT, 80.3 QBR
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How Mahomes 2023 Stats Rank Vs. Other Recent Champs

2022-23: Mahomes (KC) 

Stats: 17 games started, 5,250 yards (308.8 YPG), 41 TD, 12 INT, 79.0 QBR 

2021-22: Matthew Stafford (LAR) 

Stats: 17 games, 4,886 yards (287.4 YPG), 41 TD, 17 INT, 69.2 QBR 

2020-21: Tom Brady (TB) 

Stats: 17 games, 5,316 yards (312.7 YPG), 43 TD, 12 INT, 73.1 QBR  

2019-20: Patrick Mahomes (KC) 

Stats: 15 games started, 4,740 yards (316 YPG), 38 TD, 6 INT, 78.1 QBR  

2018-19: Tom Brady (NE) 

Stats: 16 games started, 4,355 yards (272.2 YPG), 29 TD, 11 INT, 68.4 QBR 

2017-18: Nick Foles (PHI) 

Stats: 7 games started, 537 yards (76.7 YPG), 5 TD, 2 INT, 31.1 QBR  

Average: 87 games started, 4,025 yards (average) [24,150 yards total], 29.3 TD (average) [176 touchdowns total], 63.4 QBR  

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Mahomes Still Among Top Post-Champion Performers

While Mahomes’ 2023-24 passing stats are down versus what he’s accomplished in the last half-decade, he’s still well ahead of many other recent Super Bowl championship-winning quarterbacks. That’s because Mahomes’ stats this year would still exceed the five-year averages among championship quarterbacks, including his projected passing yardage total of 4,443.8 (versus 4,025 among the last six QBs on Super Bowl winning teams), while his passing TD projected total of 30.1 exceeds the average of 29.3 since the 2017-18 season.  

Throw in the fact that Mahomes’ 2023-24 QBR (66.9) is higher than the six-year benchmark of 63.4 and you have greater context about how this year has been far from a dud for the two-time MVP. Still, Mahomes and the Chiefs need a win on Sunday when they’ll head to Foxborough to play a 3-10 New England Patriots team at noon Central time. Oddsmakers from ESPN BET list KC as a 10-point road favorite over the Pats’ on Sunday, with a -500 moneyline in favor of the Chiefs, versus +380 for the hometown team.  

It seems like handwringing over Mahomes’ play of late doesn’t pass the eye test, as the sixth-year veteran out of Texas Tech’s on-field production is still well ahead of other recent Super Bowl championship quarterbacks this fall.  

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Author

Christopher Boan is a lead writer for BetMissouri.com, specializing in covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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